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Enrollment decline can鈥檛 be explained away by shift to private schools, homeschooling

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Last month we published a piece diving into the stark reality of enrollment decline. There are nearly 30,000 fewer kids in San Diego County public schools than there were a decade ago. State officials project that over the next 20 years, enrollment at local schools will drop by another 112,000 students. That would wipe out nearly 30 percent of San Diego County鈥檚 enrollment.

Educators are so stressed about the phenomenon because it will almost certainly lead to the closure of schools across the county, from Encinitas, where enrollment has dropped by 21 percent, to Alpine, where it has fallen by 15 percent to South Bay Union, where it has plummeted by 37 percent.

There鈥檚 also not much educators can do, because the main engines of the drops鈥攄eclining birth rates and sky-high costs of living鈥攁re largely out of their control.

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